As of 2007 the majority of children in London classrooms were 'non-White' and by 2100 'Whites' as a group will be a minority in Britain. In the US 'whites' are set to become an ethnic minority by 2050 and I strongly suspect the same process is occurring in Western Europe, and perhaps even in Eastern Europe. But what will minority status hold for us 'Whites'? Despite very little public discussion on the process, I consider this to be a major event and one which will leave us very much worse off.
Being an ethnic minority is a precarious situation to be in because conflicts often emerge between different ethnic groups. If White British people were to constitute 90% of the British population then ethnic conflict wouldn't pose a mortal risk to us. However, as the number of Whites drops below 50% to perhaps 40%, 30%, 20% or even lower we face two problems. The first is that in a democratic society we would be ruled by those who do not share our values and see us as the 'other'; there would be nothing to stop Muslims voting for the introduction of Sharia law for example. Secondly, should a violent ethnic conflict occur we would naturally lose due to our numerical inferiority. If this were to happen then we would be at the mercy of the victors and risk becoming, at best victims of general persecution, and at worst victims of ethnic cleansing or genocide.
To begin, it's worth discussing the view held by some that inter-ethnic marriage will lead to new immigrants being assimilated with White Britons to form some sort of mestizo race, for if new immigrants could be assimilated into British society in the same way as has been done in the past then inter-ethnic conflicts could not take place because different groups would not exist. Proponents of this view have rightly pointed out that 'Whites' in Britain are actually a mixture of Celts, Angles, Irish, Saxons and Jutes and that in the US Irish and German immigrants have been assimilated with Anglo Americans to form one 'White American' ethnicity.
There are several problems with this, the first being that for various reasons mixed race children often grow up to adopt the identity of their non-White ancestors, which in turn maintains racial divisions. Lewis Hamilton and Barack Obama may be referred to as the first 'black' Formula One champion and US president respectively, but in reality both of them are half-white. On a grander scale it is estimated that the average 'African American' is in fact 17-25% White yet this hasn't led to the assimilation of Blacks and Whites in America. One reason for this could be that it is harder to assimilate non-White ethnic groups into a White ethnicity. If Barrack Obama had a German-born father no one would notice, Barrack would be just as much a 'White' American as Eminem or Elvis Presley. However, because Barrack has an obvious marker of his ethnic 'otherness', his skin, he is considered 'Black' by most 'Black' and 'White' Americans. His children, who I imagine are 1/4 White, will in turn no doubt consider themselves as being 'Black' as well and so the racial division continues.
A second problem the UK faces is that inter-ethnic marriages, despite being the highest in the Western world, actually only constitute 2% of all UK marriages. In Bosnia, prior to the ethnic war in the 1990's, between 30 and 40 percent of marriages were inter-ethnic. If intermarriage levels of 30% and above weren't enough to stop the massacres and mass rapes that plagued the Balkans in the 1990's, then intermarriage levels of 2% wont be enough to stop the same in Britain.
A Third problem is that ethnic assimilation in Britain would not just have to involve the assimilation of different races and cultures, but also of different religions. If an African moved to Britain and inter-married, his/her children would be 1/2 black, his grandchildren potentially 1/4 Black, and his great grandchildren as little as 1/8 Black. Should this happen it's highly likely his/her grandchildren, and certainly his great grandchildren, would be physically 'white' enough to be accepted as being '100% English' and so assimilation would have occurred. If a Muslim moves to Britain and inter-marries his/her children cannot be 1/2 Muslim, they will have to choose between religions and naturally some, and more probably most, will choose to be Muslims. If this process continues with each generation then Muslims will never be assimilated into an English ethnicity and will continue to constitute a separate group in society.
A final problem is that when Irish and Germans emigrated to the US there was no policy of multiculturalism which actively encourages people to segregate themselves, define themselves as an 'other' and live separate lives. In fact the Germans were forced to learn English and drop German street names, and talk of a US 'melting pot' also neglects the fact that during the second world war Japanese-Americans were actually sent to concentration camps; or 'internment' camps as they were affectionately called.
On these grounds we can only presume that different ethnic groups are likely to continue to exist in our society which will in turn lead to a risk, but not a certainty of ethnic conflicts developing.
The causes of ethnic conflict, like the causes of war in general, are widely contested and I don't have the time to discuss each argument here. That said however, some contributing factors have more widespread acceptance than others.
Firstly, it is widely accepted that inter-ethnic tensions increase during economic difficulties. The logic being that when resources become scarce, humans are less likely to want to share them with those whom they do not share an identity. For example, a major contributing factor in the rise of Fascism and Nazism was the economic hardship of the 1930's.
At the time of writing Britain is in recession but the economy is expected to recover, the future however, is not so certain. Global population and economic growth is already causing inflation due to increasing demand for, amongst other things, raw materials and oil. Whilst technological innovation and changes in methods of production and patterns of consumption may alleviate future inflation or resource shortages, there are no guarantees and increasing demand for finite natural resources may well lead to higher prices and lower standards of living.
Another potential problem for economic stability is global warming. The Stern report predicted that global warming could cause a contraction of global GDP of up to 20%: as bad as the great depression. A warmer world will also lead to changes in regional climates, and changes in rainfall patterns and the declining fertility of arable land will follow. The Middle East and Africa are expected to be badly affected and some predict 'resource wars' over water and fertile land, further adding to instability and no doubt damaging the global economy.
Should Britain and the world avoid major economic hardship a second widely accepted cause of ethnic conflict is the presence of discrimination. It has been observed that in most ethnic conflicts long standing and frustrating discrimination is involved, often in the form of socio-economic problems which show no prospects of a solution. The conclusion here is therefore surely: if we don't discriminate then everything will be fine? Well maybe, but maybe not...
The first problem is that many non-Whites like to think they are being discriminated against even when they are not. In fact just about every non-White ethnic group has a story of 'what the white man has done to us'; It could be East Asians proclaiming that the media portrays them negatively or that we are plotting to keep China in poverty; it could be Muslims who believe we discriminate against them by supporting Israel, arresting terror suspects, or insulting the Prophet Mohamed; Or we could talk about the undying accusations from Blacks, that we are 'racists' in charge of a 'global apartheid'.
Adding to the imagined discrimination of today is a history of actual discrimination. Whilst Whites have given much to the world, they have also done great harm: massacres, slavery and colonialism the most obvious examples. Some go so far as to say that slavery and colonialism is the basis of White wealth and White history has already been used to justify anti-White discrimination in the US in the form of affirmative action.
What further exasperates the problem of imagined discrimination is the different distribution of cognitive abilities amongst different ethnic groups which heavily influences the relationship between ethnic groups within a society.
Take the Jews for example. The Jews were not just a minority in Germany and Europe, they were a high IQ minority. For various and debated reasons; self selection, natural selection, discrimination, and undoubtably in part, culture, Ashkenazi Jews have on average IQ's which are somewhere between 7 to 15 points higher than the average White person. An IQ advantage which most visibly manifests itself in the disproportionate number of Nobel prizes awarded to Jews: 0.2% of the worlds population, 20% of the worlds Nobel prizes, including 26% of all physics Nobel prizes and 42% of all economics Nobel prizes. The Jewish IQ advantage has also enabled Jews to gain a disproportionate influence in society and Jews are subsequently over represented in many of the more influential occupations; politics, law, the media, academia... In turn the natural over-achievement of Jews has caused resentment and out-right hatred of them by ethnic groups with lower average IQ's: especially Whites. The high point of this hatred came in the form of Nazism, an ideology which scapegoated, despised, and in turn slaughtered the Jews due to the belief that Jews controlled the media and finance against the interests of Germany.
The Chinese of South East Asia find themselves in a similar position. The average IQ of a Chinese person is somewhere around 105 whilst the average IQ of South East Asians is perhaps as low as 85. Subsequently the Chinese have also gained disproportionate wealth and influence in South East Asian societies and with it, a lot of resentment, with them even fittingly being referred to as the 'Jews of the East'. In turn South East Asia has seen anti-Chinese riots and in 2008 a senior Malaysian politician called the Chinese 'squatters' and warned them not try to take control of the Malaysian state in the same way that the Jews have taken control of the USA.
In relation to British society, should we allow ourselves to become a minority then we will find ourselves in the same position. The average IQ of a white British person is 100, the average IQ of a south Asian is about 89 and the average IQ of a black person in the UK is about 85 with these two ethnic groups being those likely to dominate our society in the future. Whilst many like to deny that genetic factors play a role in the well observed IQ gap, this argument is perhaps pointless; the fact that the racial IQ gap has remained more or less constant since testing began tells me that regardless of the role played by nature or nurture it wont soon disappear. The future for Whites in British society is therefore likely to look very much like that of the Jews in Germany and Chinese in Malaysia. Culture permitting, the IQ advantage we have will in turn lead to us being, on average, more wealthy and more influential than Blacks and Asians, pair this with our racist history and the belief that we are discriminating against them, it is likely that future relations between White Britons and non-Whites will be highly antagonistic.
There is a very big difference between wanting an 'all white' Britain, and not wanting to be an ethnic minority. there will always be mixing, but slow and steady is the way forward. After 2000 years of persecution the Jews realised that they wanted a country. We are lucky, we have one. I don't want to learn the hard way, what its like to be a stateless person.
